NCAA Prediction: Michigan State Spartans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
by Mike Stewart
After a stretch in which No. 6 Michigan State Spartans dropped three of five games to end January, it hasn't lost since.
The Spartans, who lost those three contests on the road by a combined nine points, have rolled to five straight double-digit victories in February – including three against ranked teams – by getting back to coach Tom Izzo’s usual trademarks, rebounding and defense.
While Minnesota Golden Gophers is fourth in the Big Ten in field goal percentage, the Spartans’ hard-nosed defensive approach could rattle the turnover-prone Golden Gophers, who commit a conference-worst 14.3 turnovers per game.
- Michigan State Spartans @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
When: 8:30 PM ET, Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Where: Williams Arena, Minneapolis, Minnesota
TV: ET, Big Ten Network
The Spartans have opened as 6-point favorites on SBG Global Sportsbook’s Live NCAA Basketball Odds.
Michigan State Spartans (22-5): During their five-game winning streak, the Spartans are enjoying a plus-11 advantage in rebounding and are holding opponents to 34.3 percent shooting. In Sunday’s win at Purdue, Michigan State forced the Boilermakers to miss 22 of their first 23 field-goal attempts in the second half after Purdue shot 46.7 percent in the first half. Back-to-back Big Ten Player of the Week honoree Draymond Green leads the conference with 15 double-doubles and has been impressive in February, averaging 17.8 points, 11.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists – all slight increases over his totals entering the month.
Minnesota Golden Gophers (17-10): Despite their three-game slide, the Gophers have been able to count on a couple of key facets all season – their ability to block shots and the 3-point shooting of Julian Welch. Minnesota has led the conference in blocks each of the past three seasons and is doing it again, averaging 5.1 this campaign. Welch is shooting a team-best 44.3 percent beyond the arc – fifth best in the Big Ten – and is coming off a season-high 21-point outing in Saturday’s setback at Northwestern.
1. Since allowing Northwestern and Illinois to shoot 50 percent from the field in consecutive losses last month, Michigan State has held eight straight opponents under 40 percent.
2. Ralph Sampson III needs 16 points to become the fifth Gopher in school history with 1,000 points, 500 rebounds and 150 blocks
3. Green, who is 15 rebounds shy of becoming the fourth Spartan to hit the 1,000-rebound plateau, is also on pace to become the first player from a power-six conference since Tim Duncan in 1996-97 to average 15 points, 10 rebounds and three assists.
NCAA BASKETBALL PREDICTION: Spartans 68, Golden Gophers 60.
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